Betting Picks

Week 11: Philadelphia at Dallas SNF NFL Betting Preview and Pick

The Philadelphia Eagles haven’t won the NFC East title in four years but can essentially wrap up that division in a marquee Sunday night matchup in Week 11 as they visit the Dallas Cowboys.

Don’t be surprised if this game between the NFL’s best team against its most popular is the highest-rated of the year thus far and perhaps the most-wagered. The Eagles are 3.5-point favorites.

Frankly, the Eagles couldn’t have picked a better scenario to face the hated Cowboys. Philadelphia (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS) has a three-game lead over Dallas (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS), which would then basically become five with a victory Sunday when you include the head to-head tiebreaker. Plus, the Eagles are about as healthy as possible and well-rested off their bye week.

Second-year QB Carson Wentz remains the NFL MVP favorite and leads the league with 23 touchdown passes. Those are the most ever for an Eagles quarterback through the first nine games of a season. No other QB has reached 20 TDs yet this year.

Meanwhile, the Cowboys could be missing maybe their three most important players outside of quarterback Dak Prescott. Those would be running back Ezekiel Elliott, left tackle Tyron Smith and middle linebacker Sean Lee. Elliott started serving his six-game suspension in Week 10, and the Cowboys simply weren’t the same offensively in a 27-7 loss in Atlanta. They were held to 233 total yards.

Lee, the heart and soul of the defense, left early with a hamstring strain and is expected to miss multiple weeks. The Cowboys have lost five consecutive games in which Lee did not play because of injury or was held out as a precaution.

Smith, an All-Pro, sat vs. the Falcons with a groin injury. Chaz Green started in his place and was treated like a ragdoll by Atlanta’s Adrian Clayborn, who set a team-record with six sacks (four vs. Green and two on Byron Bell). Prescott went down a career-high eight times – he had been sacked just 10 times in the first eight games. Philadelphia’s front seven is far superior to Atlanta’s.

The Eagles’ secondary will welcome back top cornerback Ronald Darby. He has been out since the opener after dislocating his ankle. Darby was part of that trade with Buffalo back in August in which the Eagles traded away WR Jordan Matthews and a third-round pick to the Bills.

The Cowboys and Eagles split last year, each winning at home. The Week 17 matchup in Philadelphia was meaningless because Dallas already had clinched the top seed in the NFC and rested several starters while Philly was eliminated from playoff contention.

This will be the ninth time this century that the Eagles are favored in Big D. They are 7-1 straight up and 5-3 ATS. It last happened in 2015 when Wentz was still at North Dakota State and Prescott at Mississippi State. Dallas is just 2-8 SU in its past 10 as a home dog overall and has covered only four of those games. Take Philadelphia here.